Conceptual frameworks drive what we believe
And if panic gives you the wrong conceptual framework, you’ll reason as scientifically as you want but still get everything wrong.
It was always seasonal, but every piece of received wisdom about respiratory viruses was thrown out the window in March 2020 “because it’s *novel*!” …something I discussed in detail in July of 2020…
0/ Thread on how mass-media-induced fear of COVID irrationally transformed our priors.
I have talked a lot about the mass hysteria that was created...
This thread gets more at the many facets of common sense it wrecked.
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Mark Changizi, lobotomized @MarkChangizi
…and I discuss these issues in this Moment.
…and you can read about these issues — and my solution to the riddle of induction w/ Tim Barber — here in Chapter 3 of my first book, The Brain from 25000 Feet.